Lack luster Q3 for gold in India as GST, anti-black money laws drop demand
New Delhi : Demand for gold in India for third quarter (July-September) 2017 was at 145.9 tonnes down 24 per cent as compared to overall demand for the corresponding quarter in 2016, a World Gold Council (WGC) report showed here on Thursday.
In 2016 Q3 the demand was 192.8 tonnes.
"India's gold demand was down... as the newly introduced Goods & Services Tax (GST) and anti-money laundering legislation (AML) around jewellery retail transactions deterred gold buyers," said Somasundaram PR, Managing Director, India, WGC.
"After three consecutive quarters of growth, jewellery demand fell by 25 per cent to 115 tonne y-o-y in Q3 and bar and coin demand fell by 23 per cent to 31 tonne. The drop can be attributed partly to some advance buying in Q2 (April-June) to pre-empt the introduction of GST in Q3," he said.
"However, with the industry's gradual transition to GST proceeding on expected lines, and the removal of AML legislation, demand during the festive season seems to show clear signs of recovery in Q4. This is also underpinned by the faster growth in imports ahead of demand, and price factors in the market," Somasundaram added.
Global gold demand in Q3 2017 was 915 tonnes, a drop of 9 per cent compared with the same period in 2016, according to the World Gold Council's latest Gold Demand Trends report. This decline was led by two key factors: a softer quarter in the jewellery sector and significantly lower inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
India's Q3 2017 gold demand value was Rs 38,540 crore, down by 30 per cent in comparison to Q3 2016 (Rs 55,390 crore).
The report said the total investment demand for Q3 2017 was down by 23 per cent at 31 tonnes in comparison to Q3 2016 (40.1 tonne).
Total gold recycled in India in Q3 2017 was 26.7 tonne, as compared to 25.7 tonne in Q3 2016.
In 2017, full year market expectations of gold demand in India is in the range of 650-750 tonnes.
"Headwinds for demand continue though, following various measures since early 2016 to boost transparency, and therefore we expect full year demand in 2017 to be well below the 5-year average, our estimate being between 650 to 750 tonnes, the lower end of the range being more likely," Somasundaram added.